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Church Attendance Down but Religion Motivates Voters Print E-mail
Nation - Politics
TS-Si News Service   
Friday, 22 April 2011 09:00
Columbia, MO, USA. Church attendance in the western democracies has declined, but a new study shows religious beliefs still still influence people and motivate voters at the polls.

Chris Raymond, a graduate instructor of political science in the University of Missouri College of Arts and Science, said that many political experts consider voters around the world as “floating without party loyalties,” and that religion does not influence voters.


Raymond’s new study says religion still has a large impact on how people vote and helps define many of the platforms represented in the party system. The results were published in the journal Electoral Studies. Raymond compared church attendance to other categories such as income, union membership and education and found that religion still matters for a sizable number of voters.

Religion and Class

“It’s important to understand that religion isn’t the only factor, but an important one.”

“This makes sense because as a person with a vote, my religion and my class are how I perceive the world.”

— Chris Raymond
By comparing the findings of the United Kingdom, the United States and Germany, Raymond discovered that even as the countries had different degrees of religious attendance, the religious beliefs still had a high level of influence.

The three countries were selected because they each represented a different trend regarding religious voting, or voting based on religious beliefs: people in Germany are perceived to be moving away from religious voting; the United States is experiencing a rise in religious voting; and religious voting in the United Kingdom has held steady. When compared to the 1960s — an era during which experts say voting behaviors began to change — religious voting has shown an “enormous degree of persistence,” Raymond said.

“The literature indicated that these countries had become more secular, and scholars have said that religious voting ‘no longer mattered,’ but this study shows that is not the case,” Raymond said. “Regardless of the trends, religiosity remains on par with class issues as far as why people vote. In fact, I argue that religion is No. 2 to social status.”

Raymond explains that each country currently has specific political issues that may encourage voting affiliated with religious beliefs. He cites abortion rights in the United States, state funding of churches in the United Kingdom and issues related to Muslim integration in Germany as primary examples. These issues and their alignment to strong religious beliefs impacts voter turnout, he said. Religious voting also tends to favor conservative parties, because those social values tend to correspond with traditional conservative political values.

CitationThe continued salience of religious voting in the United States, Germany, and Great Britain. Chris Raymond. Electoral Studies 2011; 30(1): 125-135. doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2010.10.001

Highlights

• Examines the religious-secular cleavage against dealignment arguments.
• Addresses endogeneity problems in previous literature regarding religiosity effects.
• Finds that religiosity effects on vote choice remain significant over time.
• Relative to more proximate vote choice predictors, religiosity effects are sizable.
• Findings contradict dealignment; social identities still politically relevant.

Abstract

Conventional wisdom on party systems in advanced industrial democracies holds that modern electorates are dealigned and that social cleavages no longer structure party politics. Recent work on class cleavages has challenged this stylized fact. The analysis performed here extends this criticism to the religious-secular cleavage. Using path analysis and comparing the current electorates of the United States, Germany, and Great Britain with the early 1960s, this paper demonstrates that the religious-secular cleavage remains or has become a significant predictor of conservative vote choice. While the effects of the religious-secular cleavage on vote choice have become largely indirect, the total of the direct and indirect effects is substantial and equivalent to the effects of class and status.

Keywords: religious voting, social cleavages, party systems, religiosity.

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Last Updated on Thursday, 21 April 2011 23:26
 
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